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Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Australian Open women’s final: Live score and set-by-set updates as the World No.1 eyes third-straight title

Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Australian Open women’s final: Live score and set-by-set updates as the World No.1 eyes third-straight title

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Follow Mail Sport’s live blog for the latest score and game-by-game updates as Aryna Sabalenka takes on Madison Keys in the women’s final of the 2025 Australian Open. 

Keys takes the first set 6-3

Jelena Dokic in commentary says Sabalenka is trying too hard to make up for her poor service game – and on the very next point, Keys booms a backhand down the line to take the set.

‘I think it really surprised Sabalenka’

Former Aussie star Alicia Molik says Keys’ reliance on her slice backhand has ambushed the reigning champ and put her on the back foot.

The stats that tell the story

Keys is on top for aces (2-0), percentage of first serves in, wins on first serve, and second serve, she has 10 winners to Sabalenka’s four, but the unforced errors are closer than they seem – 12 to the Belarusian, 10 to the American.

Sabalenka breaks, trails 5-3

Growing signs of frustration for Sabalenka as a mishit sees the ball fly far past the baseline. She is a very unhappy camper.

Then Keys comes up with a ghastly mistake of her own, over-hitting what should have been an easy winner from close to the net – followed by sinking it into the net on the next point.

And another shot into the net makes it 15-40 in easily her worst game of the match so far.

Sabalenka lets her back into it with another unforced error, then gets the break she desperately needed.

The photo that sums up how it’s going so far

Belarus' Aryna Sabalenka reacts to a point against USA's Madison Keys during their women's singles final match on day fourteen of the Australian Open tennis tournament in Melbourne on January 25, 2025. (Photo by Martin KEEP / AFP) / -- IMAGE RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - STRICTLY NO COMMERCIAL USE -- (Photo by MARTIN KEEP/AFP via Getty Images)

Sabalenka holds – Keys to serve for the first set at 5-2

Sabalenka is way off the form that got her this far. Double faults, hitting easy shots into the net, spraying her ground strokes long… and the frustration is starting to show.

Great rally at 30-all and Keys comes out on top. She seems to be reading Sabalenka really well and getting into great position for each shot.

A sledgehammer serve takes it to deuce, then Keys hits past the baseline to give the champ the advantage.

Massive return from Keys takes it to deuce again. Sabalenka didn’t even bother moving to try to get to that one.

The stars exchange points as this game see-saws, then Keys makes an unforced error and Sabalenka holds.

Keys wins her serve to love and is up 5-1

The American breezed through that one, hitting a stunning drop shot winner that had the crowd gasping and left Sabalenka incredulous.

Incredible start by the 19th seed.

Sabalenka is broken AGAIN as Keys goes up 4-1

More service problems for Sabalenka, with another double fault leaving her down 30-40.

Then she cops a double break as an attempted drop shot hits the net as she charges in.

Keys is showing no ill effects from her long semifinal and she is taking advantage of her opponent’s many mistakes.

More Aussie sporting royalty in the stands

Here’s swimming legend Ian Thorpe, looking like he raided Elwood Blues’s wardrobe.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 25: Former Australian swimmer Ian Thorpe is seen prior to the Women's Singles Final between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys of the United States during day 14 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 25, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Hannah Peters/Getty Images)

Keys holds, goes up 3-1

A 182km/h ace by Keys puts her up 30-love, then she sends a forehand into the tramlines. An unforced error from Sabalenka makes it 40-15, then Keys misses a sitter as she can’t capitalise on another great serve. The reigning champ over-hits a return and it’s 3-1 Keys.

Keys remains up 2-1 as Sabalenka holds

Keys is playing brilliantly here, moving Sabalenka around and taking advantage of her relative lack of mobility with some great shot placement and going up 30-15 before Aryna hits back with a dynamite forehand and big first serve before holding for the first time tonight.

Spot the Aussie cricket legend

Here’s David Boon, who’ll be known to locals as one of the country’s biggest cricket cult heros.

For all you non-Aussies, he’s also known for drinking 52 cans of beer on a flight from Sydney to London.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 25: Former Australian cricketer David Boom is seen prior to the Women's Singles Final between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys of the United States during day 14 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 25, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Darrian Traynor/Getty Images)

Keys goes up 2-0

Keys went up 30-love on her serve before some heavy ground strokes and a brilliant return brought Sabalenka back into it. Keys comes to the net and hits and easy overhead winner after moving Aryna around the court, then seals the game with a great first serve.

Jackie Chan is front and centre

He was giving Lleyton Hewitt martial arts tips before, now he’s got one of the best seats in the house.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 25: Jackie Chan is seen prior to the Women's Singles Final between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys of the United States during day 14 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 25, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Graham Denholm/Getty Images)

Sabalenka is broken in the first game

A service game littered with faults from the Belarusian, putting herself down 30-40 with two doubles, and the wind might have played a bit of a role in those. Keys capitalises and she gets a dream start.

And we’re underway!

Sabalenka is serving, and she begins by sending the ball long for a fault… and then another one. Not an ideal start…

Keys and Sabalenka are warming up

We’re in the final stages of the countdown now…

Why the trophy arrived with a rugby legend

Evonne Goolagong Cawley arriving on centre court with the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup is to be expected… but rugby great Dan Carter? What’s that all about?

The devil is in the detail here. You’ll see that the cup arrived in a Louis Vuitton case after the luxury firm reached a deal to make the trunk the silverware arrives in, and Carter – one of the greatest All Blacks ever – is an ambassador for the brand.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 25: Evonne Goolagong Cawley is escorted by Dan Carter toward the trunk containing Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup prior to the Women's Singles Final between Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Keys of the United States during day 14 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 25, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Cameron Spencer/Getty Images)

Sabalenka and Keys are ready to make their way on to centre court

And the trophy has already arrived, accompanied by Aussie tennis legend Evonne Goolagong Cawley.

Why there’ll be something missing for Sabalenka if she wins

You’ve already seen why the No.1 seed will have a blank space next to her name on the graphics broadcast for tonight’s final as Belarus’s role in the Ukraine war sees the nation’s flag replaced with a blank space.

That extends to the way Sabalenka’s name will be engraved into the trophy if she beats keys. Unlike other title holders, she will not have the abbreviated name of her country etched into the mug.

Just moments away from the first serve

Sabalenka and Keys are due to make their way onto the court at any minute…

Sabalenka is vying to win three Australian Open titles in a row. Here are the women who have already done it…

The last woman to record a hat-trick of titles was Martina Hingis, from 1997 to 1999.

Before her we have Monica Seles (1991-93), Steffi Graf (1988-90), Evonne Goolagong Cawley (1974-76) and Margaret Court (1969-71).

Madison Keys has an important message for Frances Tiafoe: Shut up!

The American star shared a light-hearted superstition she has about her good friend and countryman.

‘We have this kind of joke where in the past he wouldn’t say anything pre-tournament … and then he would text me in the quarters or the semis or something, and I would lose in the next round. So we have this new rule: don’t text me, I don’t want to hear from you at all, just leave me alone and we’ll talk after the tournament.’

Frances Tiafoe of the U.S. returns a shot against Fabian Marozsan of Hungary during their second round match at the Australian Open tennis championship in Melbourne, Australia, Thursday, Jan. 16, 2025. (AP Photo/Vincent Thian)

What it’s like to watch the final from the best seats in the house – for the low, low price of $32,000

Club 1905 is the pinnacle of luxury at Melbourne Park. If you’d sold your car or taken out a second mortgage to secure your place in the exclusive group, here’s what you’d be getting…

Former star’s huge call on Keys’ last match

Former Australian star turned commentator Alicia Molik belives Keys will have to overcome the ‘incredibly physical’ three-set semi she won over Iga Swiatek to come out on top tonight, but she isn’t writing off her chances at all.

‘It is the best tennis played in that match that I have seen in the last 10 or 12 years,’ she said of the dramatic semifinal.

‘That’s not just here in the Australian Open, that is in women’s tennis full stop.’

What happened the last time Keys was in a grand slam final

Keys contested the 2017 US Open final against her countrywoman Sloane Stephens – and it did not go well for her at all.

After losing the first set 6-3, she was blown away 6-0 to lose the match after making 30 unforced errors to Stephens’ six.

Keys was the favourite heading into the clash.

‘Sloane is one of my favourite people, I didn’t play my best tennis and if there’s someone I have to lose to today I’m glad it’s her,’ Keys said as she struggled to contain her emotions afterwards.

Why Sabalenka is getting blanked on Channel Nine tonight

Eagle-eyed viewers tonight will pick up on the fact that while Madison Keys will have the US flag displayed next to her name on Nine’s graphic, there’s just a blank space for Aryna Sabalenka. Here’s the explanation…

The omission of the flag extends to the way Sabalenka’s name will be engraved into the trophy if she beats keys. Unlike other title holders, she will not have the abbreviated name of her country etched into the mug.

The bizarre story behind tonight’s silverware

Whoever wins the final will be presented with the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup, pictured below, which was first awarded in 1934.

The trophy was actually made in England, and it’s named after the Aussie who won the title in 1925, 1926, 1928, 1929 and 1930.

In 1970, the lid of the cup went missing because the Open had shifted to Sydney and only the base was brought north to NSW.

Former Tennis Australia boss Geoff Pollard and his wife found the missing piece when they were going through cupboards at Sydney’s White City stadium around 1982.

Whoever gets up tonight will get a full-size replica of the mug – with the lid.

Keys is loose as a goose

Madison Keys looks completely unruffled in this clip from the players’ gym, with just over an hour to go before she tries to win her first grand slam.

Jelena Dokic names the one thing Keys CANNOT afford to do if she’s going to take the title in a huge upset

The tennis star turned Nine commentator believes the American is doomed if she drops the first set against Sabalenka.

Keys went a set down to Iga Swiatek in her semi before her stirring fightback saw her survive a match point to advance – but Dokic believes she won’t be able to overcome a similar start against the top seed.

‘If she doesn’t get a good start, even if she doesn’t win the first set, I think it’s going to be very hard for her to win from there,’ Dokic told Nine.

How much will tonight’s finalists earn?

This year’s prize money pool for the grand slam went up by almost 12 per cent to $96.5million.

Whoever wins tonight will pocket $3.5million, with the runner-up getting a $1.9million boost to their bank account.

Revealed: The easy-to-miss change that rocketed Madison Keys into the Australian Open final

Madison Keys has borrowed a very effective ploy from the Roger Federer playbook to be on the brink of an improbable Australian Open finals triumph.

Last year was shocker for the American, with Keys forced to quit with a hamstring injury while leading eventual runner-up Jasmine Paolini 5-2 in the fourth round of Wimbledon.

She also missed the Paris Olympics and crashed out in the third round back in New York at the US Open.

So Keys, at the behest of her coach and husband Bjorn Frantangelo, figured something had to change.

Just as Federer changed to a bigger racquet head before conquering great rival Rafael Nadal in the 2017 Australian Open final, Keys made a bold equipment change before the summer.

The 2017 US Open runner-up switched from Wilson to Yonex – and the results have been incredible.

Keys is unbeaten in 2025, following up her march to the Adelaide International title with six straights wins at Melbourne Park to make the final.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of the United States in action against Iga Swiatek of Poland in the semi-final on Day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia (Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images)

Why Aussie fans have been branded ‘ugly’ and ‘a disgrace’ over shocking Australian Open moment

Lleyton Hewitt meets movie royalty behind the scenes at the Open

Superstar Jackie Chan has caught up with the Aussie tennis great after being mobbed by fans at Melbourne Park when he was greeted by performers in dragon costumes earlier in the day. Chan also had a chat with men’s singles finalist Alexander Zverev near the players’ gym.

How Keys made it to the final

Career win-loss record: 397-220

Grand slam win-loss record: 115-45

Australian Open win-loss record: 30-12

Best Australian Open results: finalist 2024; semi-finalist 2015, 2022

1st rd: bt Ann Li (USA) 6-4 7-5

2nd rd: bt Elena-Gabriela Ruse (ROU) 7-6 (7-1) 2-6 7-5

3rd rd: bt 10-Danielle Collins (USA) 6-4 6-4

4th rd: bt 6-Elena Rybakina (KAZ) 6-3 1-6 6-3

QF: bt 28-Elina Svitolina (UKR) 3-6 6-3 6-4

SF: bt 2-Iga Swiatek (POL) 5-7 6-1 7-6 (10-8)

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of United States of America reaction after winning the tie break against Iga Swiatek of Poland  (not seen) in the semi final match of the Australian Open grand slam tennis tournament at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia on January 23, 2025 (Photo by Mark Avellino/Anadolu via Getty Images)

How Sabalenka made the final

Grand slam titles: 3 (Australian Open 2023, 2024; US Open 2024)

Grand slam win-loss record: 83-23

Australian Open win-loss record: 28-5

Best Australian Open results: champion 2023, 2024

1st rd: bt Sloane Stephens (USA) 6-3 6-2

2d rd: bt Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (ESP) 6-3 7-5

3rd rd: bt Clara Tauson (DEN) 7-6 (7-5) 6-4

4th rd: bt 14-Mirra Andreeva (RUS) 6-1 6-2

QF: bt 27-Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (RUS) 6-2 3-6 6-3

SF: bt 11-Paula Badosa (ESP) 6-4 6-2

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning match point against Paula Badosa of Spain in the Women's Singles Semifinal match during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Andy Cheung/Getty Images)

The women’s final, by the numbers

Here’s how the American and the Belarusian stack up with just hours to go before they meet at Rod Laver Arena…

Sabalenka (first seed) leads Keys (19th seed) 4-1 in all match-ups, and 2-0 at grand slams

2024 Beijing, hard, R16, Sabalenka 6-4 6-3

2023 US Open, hard, SF, Sabalenka 0-6 7-6 (7-1) 7-5 (7-5)

2023 Wimbledon, grass, QF, Sabalenka 6-2 6-4

2021 Berlin, clay, R16, Sabalenka 4-6 6-1 7-5

2018 Cincinnati, hard, QF, Keys 6-3 6-4

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of United States in action against Iga Swiatek (not seen) of Poland in the Women's Singles Semifinal during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Mark Avellino/Anadolu via Getty Images)

G’day and welcome

Thanks for joining Daily Mail Australia’s live blog of the women’s singles final from Melbourne Park.

We’ll be bringing you all the latest news, opinion and best moments as Aryna Sabalenka tries to make it a hat-trick of Australian Open titles.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Aryna Sabalenka plays a backhand against Paula Badosa of Spain in the Women's Singles Semifinal match during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Andy Cheung/Getty Images)



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